Rating
Peru risk rating
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-14 21:58:52 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-14 23:58:52 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 44/100 · Eligible records: 20
Rating history
- CtoCindex 51 → 5732m agoActivity score changed from 51 to 57Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 9.4 → 37.5
Activity score changed from 51 to 57. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed. population component 9.4 → 37.5. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — PE Detected: 2026-10-14T18:51:00.000Z CalamityScore: 57/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 195,438 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: PE. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoCindex 36 → 511d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 36 → 51)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 67.4 → 100.0population component 1.3 → 9.4
- AtoBindex 16 → 36Green → Yellow1d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 36)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.0 → 67.4population component 0.9 → 1.3
- AtoAindex 5 → 161d agoActivity score changed from 5 to 16Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 6.0 → 16.0population component 1.8 → 0.9forecast component 18.0 → 60.0
- BtoAindex 29 → 5Yellow → Green1d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 29 → 5)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.2 Earthquake (CalamityScore 30); cause of change not attributedseverity component 50.4 → 6.0population component 14.6 → 1.8forecast component 39.0 → 18.0
- CtoBindex 54 → 292d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 54 → 29)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 91.2 → 50.4population component 58.8 → 14.6
- BtoCindex 38 → 543d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 54)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 65.0 → 91.2population component 14.5 → 58.8forecast component 60.0 → 39.0
- DtoBindex 66 → 383d agoCountry rating changed from D to B (score 66 → 38)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 65.0population component 84.8 → 14.5
- CtoDindex 58 → 664d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 58 → 66)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 87.8 → 100.0population component 69.8 → 84.8
- BtoCindex 38 → 584d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 58)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 57.4 → 87.8population component 31.4 → 69.8
- BtoBindex 30 → 384d agoActivity score changed from 30 to 38Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 43.6 → 57.4population component 17.2 → 31.4
- CtoBindex 57 → 304d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 57 → 30)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 43.6population component 42.1 → 17.2
- CtoCindex 43 → 575d agoActivity score changed from 43 to 57Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 73.2 → 100.0population component 23.4 → 42.1
- CtoCindex 60 → 435d agoActivity score changed from 60 to 43Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 73.2population component 53.8 → 23.4
- CtoCindex 54 → 606d agoActivity score changed from 54 to 60Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 26.2 → 53.8
- CtoCindex 46 → 546d agoActivity score changed from 46 to 54Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 84.0 → 100.0population component 18.6 → 26.2
- DtoCindex 69 → 466d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 46)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 84.0population component 100.0 → 18.6
- DtoDindex 63 → 697d agoActivity score changed from 63 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 71.6 → 100.0
- DtoDindex 69 → 637d agoActivity score changed from 69 to 63Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 71.6
- DtoDindex 64 → 698d agoActivity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 75.6 → 100.0