Rating

Peru risk rating

Activity gradeCindex 57.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated32m ago

Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-14 21:58:52 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-14 23:58:52 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity100100.0/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI3837.5/100
CFI activity proxy6060.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 44/100 · Eligible records: 20

Rating history

  1. CtoCindex 51 → 5732m ago
    Activity score changed from 51 to 57Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 9.4 → 37.5

    Activity score changed from 51 to 57. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed. population component 9.4 → 37.5. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — PE Detected: 2026-10-14T18:51:00.000Z CalamityScore: 57/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 195,438 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: PE. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. BtoCindex 36 → 511d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 36 → 51)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 67.4 → 100.0population component 1.3 → 9.4
  3. AtoBindex 16 → 36Green → Yellow1d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 36)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.0 → 67.4population component 0.9 → 1.3
  4. AtoAindex 5 → 161d ago
    Activity score changed from 5 to 16Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 6.0 → 16.0population component 1.8 → 0.9forecast component 18.0 → 60.0
  5. BtoAindex 29 → 5Yellow → Green1d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 29 → 5)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.2 Earthquake (CalamityScore 30); cause of change not attributedseverity component 50.4 → 6.0population component 14.6 → 1.8forecast component 39.0 → 18.0
  6. CtoBindex 54 → 292d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 54 → 29)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 91.2 → 50.4population component 58.8 → 14.6
  7. BtoCindex 38 → 543d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 54)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 65.0 → 91.2population component 14.5 → 58.8forecast component 60.0 → 39.0
  8. DtoBindex 66 → 383d ago
    Country rating changed from D to B (score 66 → 38)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 65.0population component 84.8 → 14.5
  9. CtoDindex 58 → 664d ago
    Country rating changed from C to D (score 58 → 66)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 87.8 → 100.0population component 69.8 → 84.8
  10. BtoCindex 38 → 584d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 58)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 57.4 → 87.8population component 31.4 → 69.8
  11. BtoBindex 30 → 384d ago
    Activity score changed from 30 to 38Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 43.6 → 57.4population component 17.2 → 31.4
  12. CtoBindex 57 → 304d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 57 → 30)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 43.6population component 42.1 → 17.2
  13. CtoCindex 43 → 575d ago
    Activity score changed from 43 to 57Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 73.2 → 100.0population component 23.4 → 42.1
  14. CtoCindex 60 → 435d ago
    Activity score changed from 60 to 43Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 73.2population component 53.8 → 23.4
  15. CtoCindex 54 → 606d ago
    Activity score changed from 54 to 60Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 26.2 → 53.8
  16. CtoCindex 46 → 546d ago
    Activity score changed from 46 to 54Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 84.0 → 100.0population component 18.6 → 26.2
  17. DtoCindex 69 → 466d ago
    Country rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 46)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 84.0population component 100.0 → 18.6
  18. DtoDindex 63 → 697d ago
    Activity score changed from 63 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 71.6 → 100.0
  19. DtoDindex 69 → 637d ago
    Activity score changed from 69 to 63Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 71.6
  20. DtoDindex 64 → 698d ago
    Activity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 75.6 → 100.0