Calamity
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Rating

Romania risk rating

Activity gradeBindex 29.0/100
Operational statusGreen
Last updated25m ago

Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-12 12:53:25 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 14:53:25 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity2222.2/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI7372.7/100
CFI activity proxy3636.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Weather

Mean event index: 37/100 · Eligible records: 3

Rating history

  1. AtoBindex 12 → 296h ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 12 → 29)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Giurgiu, Romania (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.8 → 22.2population component 7.1 → 72.7forecast component 45.0 → 36.0

    Country rating changed from A to B (score 12 → 29). Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Giurgiu, Romania (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributed. severity component 8.8 → 22.2. population component 7.1 → 72.7. forecast component 45.0 → 36.0. Context: EVENT: Moderate weather warning — Giurgiu, Romania — RO Detected: 2026-10-12T07:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 37/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 175,719 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: RO. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoAindex 20 → 123d ago
    Activity score changed from 20 to 12Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.4 → 8.8population component 13.7 → 7.1
  3. AtoAindex 15 → 203d ago
    Activity score changed from 15 to 20Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.6 → 25.4population component 9.2 → 13.7
  4. BtoAindex 22 → 156d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 15)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 29.0 → 16.6population component 16.7 → 9.2
  5. AtoBindex 12 → 226d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 12 → 22)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.8 → 29.0population component 6.6 → 16.7
  6. BtoAindex 21 → 12Yellow → Green8d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 12)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.8 → 8.8population component 7.7 → 6.6
  7. BtoBindex 26 → 21Orange → Yellow8d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 43.4 → 31.8population component 7.3 → 7.7forecast component 48.0 → 45.0
  8. BtoBindex 21 → 268d ago
    Activity score changed from 21 to 26Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 33.8 → 43.4population component 1.2 → 7.3forecast component 46.5 → 48.0
  9. AtoBindex 15 → 219d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 21)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.6 → 33.8population component 1.0 → 1.2forecast component 45.0 → 46.5
  10. AtoAindex 9 → 15Yellow → Orange9d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 19.6population component 0.0 → 1.0
  11. AtoAindex 16 → 9Orange → Yellow9d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.0 → 5.4population component 2.0 → 0.0
  12. BtoAindex 22 → 169d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 16)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.4 → 22.0population component 5.0 → 2.0forecast component 46.5 → 45.0
  13. AtoBindex 18 → 2210d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 18 → 22)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.6 → 34.4population component 3.2 → 5.0forecast component 45.0 → 46.5
  14. BtoAindex 35 → 1810d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 35 → 18)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 65.2 → 25.6population component 9.3 → 3.2forecast component 49.5 → 45.0
  15. BtoBindex 28 → 3510d ago
    Activity score changed from 28 to 35Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 46.8 → 65.2population component 7.3 → 9.3forecast component 54.0 → 49.5
  16. BtoBindex 23 → 2811d ago
    Activity score changed from 23 to 28Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 35.2 → 46.8population component 4.3 → 7.3forecast component 52.5 → 54.0
  17. AtoBindex 13 → 23Yellow → Orange12d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 13 → 23)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.2 → 35.2population component 3.3 → 4.3forecast component 49.5 → 52.5
  18. BtoAindex 23 → 13Orange → Yellow12d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 13)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 30); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.4 → 13.2population component 10.5 → 3.3
  19. BtoBindex 23 → 23Yellow → Orange13d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.4 → 34.4population component 3.1 → 10.5forecast component 52.5 → 49.5
  20. DtoBindex 63 → 2313d ago
    Country rating changed from D to B (score 63 → 23)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 88.2 → 36.4population component 100.0 → 3.1forecast component 49.5 → 52.5
Forecast for RomaniaActive events in Romania