Rating
Rwanda risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-03 23:34:45 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-04 01:34:45 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 18/100 · Eligible records: 2
Rating history
- AtoAindex 11 → 10Yellow → Green10d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.4 → 10.8population component 1.1 → 0.0forecast component 39.0 → 40.5
Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributed. severity component 11.4 → 10.8. population component 1.1 → 0.0. forecast component 39.0 → 40.5. Context: EVENT: Moderate Wildfire — RW Detected: 2026-10-02T11:47:00.000Z CalamityScore: 18/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: RW. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 8 → 11Green → Yellow10d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 11.4population component 0.0 → 1.1forecast component 43.5 → 39.0
- AtoAindex 9 → 8Yellow → Green12d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 3.6
- AtoAindex 8 → 9Green → Yellow14d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 5.4
- AtoAindex 10 → 8Yellow → Green20d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.8 → 3.6population component 2.9 → 0.0
- AtoAindex 5 → 10Green → Yellow22d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.8 → 7.8population component 0.0 → 2.9forecast component 18.0 → 43.5
- AtoAindex 16 → 5Orange → Green26d agoOperational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 168) (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.0 → 5.8population component 17.8 → 0.0forecast component 43.5 → 18.0
- AtoAindex 9 → 16Green → Orange28d agoOperational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 15.0population component 0.0 → 17.8
- BtoAindex 25 → 1328d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 25 → 13)Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoBindex 13 → 2528d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 13 → 25)Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 50)
- AtoAindex 20 → 13Orange → Green28d agoOperational status changed from orange to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoAindex 14 → 20Yellow → Orange28d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
- BtoAindex 24 → 1231d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 12)Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoBindex 12 → 2431d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 12 → 24)Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 50)
- BtoAindex 24 → 1231d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 12)Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoBindex 12 → 2431d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 12 → 24)Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 153) (CalamityScore 50)
- BtoAindex 36 → 12Red → Green31d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 36 → 12)Operational status changed from red to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
- CtoBindex 47 → 3631d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 47 → 36)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57)
- BtoCindex 36 → 4731d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 36 → 47)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57)
- AtoBindex 16 → 36Yellow → Red32d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 36)Operational status changed from yellow to redMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 57)