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Rating

Senegal risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 6.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated8d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-03 23:34:45 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-04 01:34:45 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity43.6/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI00.0/100
CFI activity proxy3333.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 18/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. AtoAindex 10 → 6Yellow → Green9d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 3.6forecast component 45.0 → 33.0

    Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributed. severity component 9.0 → 3.6. forecast component 45.0 → 33.0. Context: EVENT: Moderate Wildfire — SN Detected: 2026-10-02T15:16:00.000Z CalamityScore: 18/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: SN. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoAindex 6 → 10Green → Yellow9d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 9.0forecast component 37.5 → 45.0
  3. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  4. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  5. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  6. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  7. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  8. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  9. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  10. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  11. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  12. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  13. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  14. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  15. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  16. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  17. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  18. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  19. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  20. AtoAindex 12 → 12Yellow → Green92d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
Forecast for SenegalActive events in Senegal