Rating
Somalia risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-03 23:34:45 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-04 01:34:45 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 14/100 · Eligible records: 2
Rating history
- AtoAindex 13 → 7Yellow → Green14d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.0 → 3.6population component 1.8 → 0.0forecast component 46.5 → 39.0
Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributed. severity component 15.0 → 3.6. population component 1.8 → 0.0. forecast component 46.5 → 39.0. Context: EVENT: Moderate Wildfire — SO Detected: 2026-09-27T10:45:00.000Z CalamityScore: 18/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: SO. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 8 → 1314d agoActivity score changed from 8 to 13Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 15.0population component 0.0 → 1.8forecast component 37.5 → 46.5
- AtoAindex 9 → 8Green → Yellow16d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedforecast component 43.5 → 37.5
- AtoAindex 12 → 9Yellow → Green26d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 5.4forecast component 49.5 → 43.5
- AtoAindex 10 → 12Green → Yellow27d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 12.6forecast component 45.0 → 49.5
- AtoAindex 11 → 9Yellow → Green45d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenDisaster — Yemen (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoBindex 14 → 2345d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 23)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- AtoBindex 13 → 2645d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 13 → 26)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- AtoBindex 14 → 2345d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 23)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- AtoBindex 14 → 2545d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 25)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- AtoBindex 13 → 2445d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 13 → 24)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- BtoAindex 26 → 1445d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 14)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 24)
- AtoBindex 14 → 2345d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 23)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- AtoBindex 14 → 2545d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 25)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- AtoBindex 14 → 2645d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 26)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- AtoBindex 16 → 2745d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 27)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- AtoBindex 16 → 2645d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 26)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- AtoBindex 16 → 2745d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 27)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- AtoBindex 16 → 2745d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 27)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)
- AtoBindex 13 → 2645d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 13 → 26)M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 28)2 new cascade alert(s)