Rating
South Sudan risk rating
Activity gradeCindex 49.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated24m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-19 20:37:12 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-19 22:37:12 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity100.0/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI5.0/100
CFI activity proxy54.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 42/100 · Eligible records: 19
Rating history
- BtoCindex 27 → 507h agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 27 → 50)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 48.8 → 100.0population component 0.2 → 12.7
Country rating changed from B to C (score 27 → 50). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributed. severity component 48.8 → 100.0. population component 0.2 → 12.7. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — SS Detected: 2026-10-19T11:34:00.000Z CalamityScore: 50/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 4,032 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: SS. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoBindex 14 → 27Green → Yellow1d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 27)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.4 → 48.8population component 0.1 → 0.2
- BtoAindex 29 → 14Yellow → Green1d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 29 → 14)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 51.8 → 16.4population component 1.3 → 0.1
- CtoBindex 51 → 292d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 51 → 29)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 51.8population component 14.9 → 1.3
- BtoCindex 26 → 513d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 26 → 51)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 45.6 → 100.0population component 0.4 → 14.9
- CtoBindex 52 → 263d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 52 → 26)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 54); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 45.6population component 20.7 → 0.4
- CtoCindex 42 → 524d agoActivity score changed from 42 to 52Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 77.0 → 100.0population component 14.8 → 20.7
- CtoCindex 51 → 424d agoActivity score changed from 51 to 42Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 77.0population component 16.0 → 14.8
- CtoCindex 41 → 515d agoActivity score changed from 41 to 51Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 81.0 → 100.0population component 5.2 → 16.0
- AtoCindex 19 → 415d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 19 → 41)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.8 → 81.0population component 0.0 → 5.2
- AtoAindex 14 → 19Green → Yellow5d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 28.8
- BtoAindex 22 → 14Yellow → Green6d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 14)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.6 → 14.4population component 1.4 → 0.0
- CtoBindex 49 → 228d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 49 → 22)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 34.6population component 5.5 → 1.4
- BtoCindex 25 → 499d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 25 → 49)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.4 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 5.5
- CtoBindex 42 → 259d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 42 → 25)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 86.0 → 42.4population component 0.2 → 0.0
- BtoCindex 38 → 4210d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 42)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 75.6 → 86.0
- BtoBindex 31 → 3810d agoActivity score changed from 31 to 38Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 58.6 → 75.6population component 0.0 → 0.2
- CtoBindex 42 → 3110d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 42 → 31)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 85.0 → 58.6population component 0.1 → 0.0
- BtoCindex 23 → 4211d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 23 → 42)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 38.4 → 85.0population component 0.0 → 0.1
- BtoBindex 34 → 2311d agoActivity score changed from 34 to 23Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 64.8 → 38.4population component 0.4 → 0.0forecast component 51.0 → 52.5