Rating

Tajikistan risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 13.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated8d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-04 11:47:25 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-04 13:47:25 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity1010.0/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI2929.5/100
CFI activity proxy1818.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Air Quality

Mean event index: 50/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. AtoAindex 13 → 13Yellow → Green10d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.4 → 10.0

    Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributed. severity component 11.4 → 10.0. Context: EVENT: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) — TJ Detected: 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 50/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 294,762 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: TJ. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoAindex 13 → 13Green → Yellow10d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 264) (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.0 → 11.4
  3. AtoAindex 7 → 1314d ago
    Activity score changed from 7 to 13Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 151) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 10.0population component 4.5 → 29.5
  4. AtoAindex 13 → 718d ago
    Activity score changed from 13 to 7Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 163) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.0 → 8.2population component 29.5 → 4.5
  5. AtoAindex 7 → 1320d ago
    Activity score changed from 7 to 13Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 151) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 10.0population component 4.5 → 29.5
  6. AtoAindex 13 → 722d ago
    Activity score changed from 13 to 7Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 155) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.0 → 8.2population component 29.5 → 4.5
  7. AtoAindex 7 → 1323d ago
    Activity score changed from 7 to 13Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 157) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 10.0population component 4.5 → 29.5
  8. AtoAindex 13 → 724d ago
    Activity score changed from 13 to 7Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 156) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.0 → 8.2population component 29.5 → 4.5
  9. AtoAindex 16 → 16Yellow → Green69d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 189) (CalamityScore 35)
  10. AtoAindex 16 → 16Green → Yellow69d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowVery Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 241) (CalamityScore 35)
  11. AtoAindex 16 → 16Yellow → Green105d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 193) (CalamityScore 35)
  12. AtoBindex 7 → 22145d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 7 → 22)Drought is on going in Afghanistan, Islamic Republic of Iran, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan (CalamityScore 35)