Rating
Tanzania risk rating
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-20 00:18:57 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-20 02:18:57 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 45/100 · Eligible records: 37
Rating history
- DtoDindex 69 → 631m agoActivity score changed from 69 to 63Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 70.0
Activity score changed from 69 to 63. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributed. population component 100.0 → 70.0. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — TZ Detected: 2026-10-19T11:25:00.000Z CalamityScore: 59/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 96,754 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: TZ. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- CtoDindex 56 → 699h agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 56 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 33.8 → 100.0
- CtoCindex 50 → 5611h agoActivity score changed from 50 to 56Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 96.8 → 100.0population component 11.3 → 33.8
- CtoCindex 45 → 5022h agoActivity score changed from 45 to 50Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 82.6 → 96.8population component 10.9 → 11.3
- DtoCindex 63 → 451d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 63 → 45)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 82.6population component 66.4 → 10.9
- CtoDindex 56 → 631d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 56 → 63)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 31.0 → 66.4
- DtoCindex 66 → 562d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 66 → 56)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 80.5 → 31.0
- CtoDindex 55 → 662d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 55 → 66)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 30.1 → 80.5
- CtoCindex 50 → 552d agoActivity score changed from 50 to 55Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 4.6 → 30.1
- CtoCindex 57 → 502d agoActivity score changed from 57 to 50Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 35.6 → 4.6
- DtoCindex 69 → 573d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 57)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 35.6
- DtoDindex 64 → 693d agoActivity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 74.2 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 53 → 643d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 53 → 64)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 15.6 → 74.2
- CtoCindex 60 → 533d agoActivity score changed from 60 to 53Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 54.3 → 15.6
- DtoCindex 69 → 604d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 60)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 54.3
- CtoDindex 56 → 694d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 56 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 30.8 → 100.0
- CtoCindex 51 → 565d agoActivity score changed from 51 to 56Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 98.8 → 100.0population component 12.0 → 30.8
- DtoCindex 65 → 516d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 65 → 51)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 98.8population component 77.4 → 12.0
- CtoDindex 55 → 656d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 55 → 65)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 28.9 → 77.4
- DtoCindex 69 → 557d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 55)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 28.9