Rating
Venezuela risk rating
Activity gradeBindex 34.0/100
Operational statusGreen
Last updated10m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-19 18:58:43 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-19 20:58:43 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity32.8/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI60.8/100
CFI activity proxy55.5/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 55/100 · Eligible records: 3
Rating history
- BtoBindex 25 → 359h agoActivity score changed from 25 to 35Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.2 → 33.8population component 36.1 → 63.3
Activity score changed from 25 to 35. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributed. severity component 23.2 → 33.8. population component 36.1 → 63.3. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — VE Detected: 2026-10-19T05:31:00.000Z CalamityScore: 64/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 104,685 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: VE. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- CtoBindex 60 → 25Yellow → Green19h agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 60 → 25)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 79.2 → 23.2population component 100.0 → 36.1
- CtoCindex 46 → 6023h agoActivity score changed from 46 to 60Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 65.0 → 79.2population component 56.5 → 100.0
- BtoCindex 31 → 461d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 31 → 46)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 50.4 → 65.0population component 14.8 → 56.5
- AtoBindex 14 → 31Green → Yellow1d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 31)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 50.4population component 9.6 → 14.8
- BtoAindex 31 → 14Yellow → Green1d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 31 → 14)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 50.4 → 10.6population component 14.8 → 9.6
- AtoBindex 15 → 31Green → Yellow1d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 31)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 50.4population component 8.9 → 14.8
- BtoAindex 31 → 15Yellow → Green1d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 31 → 15)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributedseverity component 50.4 → 12.6population component 14.8 → 8.9
- DtoBindex 64 → 311d agoCountry rating changed from D to B (score 64 → 31)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 89.8 → 50.4population component 100.0 → 14.8
- BtoDindex 33 → 641d agoCountry rating changed from B to D (score 33 → 64)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.2 → 89.8population component 39.0 → 100.0
- BtoBindex 22 → 33Green → Yellow2d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.2 → 42.2population component 13.7 → 39.0
- BtoBindex 38 → 22Yellow → Green2d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.2 → 27.2population component 41.8 → 13.7
- BtoBindex 33 → 382d agoActivity score changed from 33 to 38Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 40.6 → 54.2population component 42.3 → 41.8
- BtoBindex 30 → 33Green → Yellow3d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.0 → 40.6population component 42.1 → 42.3
- AtoBindex 20 → 303d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 30)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.4 → 32.0population component 13.8 → 42.1
- BtoAindex 22 → 203d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 20)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.6 → 22.4population component 12.1 → 13.8
- AtoBindex 19 → 223d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 22)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.4 → 28.6population component 13.0 → 12.1
- AtoAindex 14 → 194d agoActivity score changed from 14 to 19Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 21.4population component 6.9 → 13.0
- BtoAindex 26 → 146d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 14)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 26.8 → 10.6population component 34.7 → 6.9
- AtoBindex 14 → 267d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 26)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 26.8population component 6.6 → 34.7