Rating
Vanuatu risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-10 01:21:47 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-10 03:21:47 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 13/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- AtoAindex 3 → 4Yellow → Green2d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.4 Earthquake (CalamityScore 19); cause of change not attributedseverity component 2.8 → 3.8forecast component 15.0 → 18.0
Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: M 5.4 Earthquake (CalamityScore 19); cause of change not attributed. severity component 2.8 → 3.8. forecast component 15.0 → 18.0. Context: EVENT: M 5.4 Earthquake — VU Detected: 2026-10-09T13:51:46.530Z CalamityScore: 19/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: VU. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 13 → 12Green → Yellow28d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowM 5.2 Earthquake (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoAindex 12 → 13Yellow → Green28d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.2 Earthquake (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoAindex 11 → 12Green → Yellow28d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowM 5.2 Earthquake (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoAindex 11 → 11Yellow → Green28d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.2 Earthquake (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoAindex 18 → 10Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 18 → 10Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 18 → 15Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 18 → 15Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 18 → 15Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 18 → 15Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 18 → 16Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 18 → 16Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 18 → 16Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 18 → 16Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 18 → 16Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 18 → 16Yellow → Green78d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 11 → 12Yellow → Green146d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.8 Earthquake (CalamityScore 22)
- AtoAindex 11 → 12Yellow → Green146d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.8 Earthquake (CalamityScore 22)
- AtoAindex 11 → 12Yellow → Green146d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenM 5.8 Earthquake (CalamityScore 22)