Rating
Zimbabwe risk rating
Activity gradeDindex 69.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated12m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-18 19:40:34 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-18 21:40:34 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity100.0/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI100.0/100
CFI activity proxy63.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 45/100 · Eligible records: 36
Rating history
- DtoDindex 64 → 695h agoActivity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 70.3 → 100.0
Activity score changed from 64 to 69. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributed. population component 70.3 → 100.0. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — ZW Detected: 2026-10-18T12:27:00.000Z CalamityScore: 68/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 677,098 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: ZW. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoDindex 69 → 6419h agoActivity score changed from 69 to 64Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 70.3
- CtoDindex 58 → 691d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 58 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 41.7 → 100.0
- BtoCindex 26 → 581d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 26 → 58)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 40.2 → 100.0population component 2.5 → 41.7
- CtoBindex 58 → 261d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 58 → 26)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 40.2population component 40.7 → 2.5
- DtoCindex 69 → 581d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 58)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 40.7
- CtoDindex 51 → 692d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 51 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 9.9 → 100.0
- DtoCindex 64 → 512d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 64 → 51)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 73.4 → 9.9
- CtoDindex 52 → 642d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 52 → 64)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 10.8 → 73.4
- DtoCindex 62 → 522d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 62 → 52)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 64.0 → 10.8
- CtoDindex 52 → 623d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 52 → 62)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 11.4 → 64.0
- CtoCindex 42 → 523d agoActivity score changed from 42 to 52Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 77.6 → 100.0population component 8.4 → 11.4
- CtoCindex 54 → 423d agoActivity score changed from 54 to 42Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 77.6population component 21.5 → 8.4
- AtoCindex 18 → 54Green → Yellow5d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 18 → 54)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.8 → 100.0population component 0.1 → 21.5
- CtoAindex 58 → 18Yellow → Green5d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 58 → 18)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 21.8population component 40.6 → 0.1
- CtoCindex 53 → 586d agoActivity score changed from 53 to 58Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 18.2 → 40.6
- CtoCindex 58 → 536d agoActivity score changed from 58 to 53Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 40.6 → 18.2
- CtoCindex 52 → 586d agoActivity score changed from 52 to 58Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 11.6 → 40.6
- DtoCindex 62 → 526d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 62 → 52)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 62.6 → 11.6
- EtoDindex 86 → 62Orange → Yellow6d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 86 → 62)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 57.8 → 63.0