Calamity
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Rating

Spain risk rating

Activity gradeBindex 32.0/100
Operational statusGreen
Last updated25m ago

Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-12 12:53:25 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 14:53:25 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity1616.4/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI100100.0/100
CFI activity proxy3534.5/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Weather

Mean event index: 41/100 · Eligible records: 2

Rating history

  1. AtoBindex 6 → 283d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 6 → 28)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Ceuta, Spain (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 9.2population component 1.3 → 100.0forecast component 19.5 → 28.5

    Country rating changed from A to B (score 6 → 28). Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Ceuta, Spain (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributed. severity component 8.2 → 9.2. population component 1.3 → 100.0. forecast component 19.5 → 28.5. Context: EVENT: Moderate weather warning — Ceuta, Spain — ES Detected: 2026-10-09T04:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 46/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 2,033,844 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: ES. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. BtoAindex 32 → 66d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 32 → 6)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 158) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.6 → 8.2population component 100.0 → 1.3forecast component 34.5 → 19.5
  3. AtoBindex 11 → 326d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 32)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Antequera, Spain (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 16.6population component 0.0 → 100.0forecast component 46.5 → 34.5
  4. AtoAindex 11 → 11Yellow → Green9d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.8 → 9.0forecast component 33.0 → 46.5
  5. AtoAindex 11 → 11Green → Yellow9d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 158) (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 14.8forecast component 46.5 → 33.0
  6. BtoAindex 24 → 11Yellow → Green9d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 11)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.0 → 9.0population component 56.1 → 0.0forecast component 33.0 → 46.5
  7. CtoBindex 43 → 24Orange → Yellow9d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 43 → 24)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 46.4 → 20.0population component 96.9 → 56.1forecast component 33.8 → 33.0
  8. BtoCindex 30 → 439d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 30 → 43)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 35.4 → 46.4population component 40.8 → 96.9forecast component 48.0 → 33.8
  9. CtoBindex 43 → 309d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 43 → 30)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 46.4 → 35.4population component 96.9 → 40.8forecast component 33.8 → 48.0
  10. BtoCindex 27 → 439d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 27 → 43)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 154) (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.0 → 46.4population component 40.8 → 96.9forecast component 46.5 → 33.8
  11. BtoBindex 32 → 279d ago
    Activity score changed from 32 to 27Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 40.0 → 30.0population component 53.8 → 40.8forecast component 33.0 → 46.5
  12. BtoBindex 27 → 329d ago
    Activity score changed from 27 to 32Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 156) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.0 → 40.0population component 40.9 → 53.8forecast component 46.5 → 33.0
  13. BtoBindex 32 → 2710d ago
    Activity score changed from 32 to 27Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 40.0 → 30.0population component 53.8 → 40.9forecast component 33.0 → 46.5
  14. BtoBindex 26 → 3210d ago
    Activity score changed from 26 to 32Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 173) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.2 → 40.0population component 41.1 → 53.8forecast component 46.5 → 33.0
  15. BtoBindex 31 → 2610d ago
    Activity score changed from 31 to 26Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 38.2 → 28.2population component 54.0 → 41.1forecast component 33.0 → 46.5
  16. BtoBindex 26 → 3110d ago
    Activity score changed from 26 to 31Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 151) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.2 → 38.2population component 41.1 → 54.0forecast component 46.5 → 33.0
  17. AtoBindex 18 → 26Yellow → Orange10d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 18 → 26)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.8 → 28.2population component 1.2 → 41.1
  18. AtoAindex 11 → 1810d ago
    Activity score changed from 11 to 18Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 25.8population component 0.0 → 1.2
  19. AtoAindex 8 → 11Green → Yellow11d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 9.0
  20. AtoAindex 11 → 8Yellow → Green11d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 1.8forecast component 52.5 → 46.5
Forecast for SpainActive events in Spain