Rating
Chad risk rating
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-12 18:52:54 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 20:52:54 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 32/100 · Eligible records: 2
Rating history
- AtoAindex 17 → 81d agoActivity score changed from 17 to 8Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.2 → 5.4population component 5.9 → 0.0forecast component 40.5 → 36.0
Activity score changed from 17 to 8. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributed. severity component 23.2 → 5.4. population component 5.9 → 0.0. forecast component 40.5 → 36.0. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — TD Detected: 2026-10-10T12:42:00.000Z CalamityScore: 27/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: TD. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 8 → 172d agoActivity score changed from 8 to 17Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 23.2population component 0.0 → 5.9
- AtoAindex 10 → 8Yellow → Green13d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 3.6forecast component 42.0 → 40.5
- AtoAindex 8 → 10Green → Yellow15d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 9.0
- AtoAindex 8 → 8Yellow → Green16d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 3.6forecast component 40.5 → 42.0
- AtoAindex 8 → 8Green → Yellow18d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 5.4
- AtoAindex 8 → 8Yellow → Green19d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 3.6forecast component 42.0 → 40.5
- AtoAindex 8 → 8Green → Yellow22d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 5.4
- AtoAindex 12 → 13Green → Yellow34d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
- AtoAindex 13 → 12Yellow → Green34d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoAindex 12 → 13Green → Yellow35d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
- AtoAindex 12 → 12Green → Yellow77d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
- AtoAindex 9 → 6Yellow → Green94d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenFireball/Bolide — 2026-06-11 (CalamityScore 4)
- AtoAindex 9 → 6Yellow → Green94d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenFireball/Bolide — 2026-06-11 (CalamityScore 4)
- AtoAindex 9 → 6Yellow → Green94d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenFireball/Bolide — 2026-06-11 (CalamityScore 4)
- AtoAindex 9 → 6Yellow → Green94d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenFireball/Bolide — 2026-06-11 (CalamityScore 4)
- AtoAindex 9 → 6Yellow → Green94d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenFireball/Bolide — 2026-06-11 (CalamityScore 4)
- AtoAindex 9 → 6Yellow → Green94d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenFireball/Bolide — 2026-06-11 (CalamityScore 4)
- AtoAindex 9 → 6Yellow → Green94d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenFireball/Bolide — 2026-06-11 (CalamityScore 4)
- AtoAindex 9 → 6Yellow → Green94d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenFireball/Bolide — 2026-06-11 (CalamityScore 4)