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Rating

Burkina Faso risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 7.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated12d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-09-30 23:36:44 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-01 01:36:44 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity43.6/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI00.0/100
CFI activity proxy3939.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 18/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)

    EVENT: Moderate Wildfire — BF Detected: 2026-06-14T12:53:00.000Z CalamityScore: 30/100 Severity: medium POPULATION AT RISK: Estimated 15,539 people within impact zone HISTORICAL CONTEXT: Location: BF region. RECOMMENDED ACTIONS: Monitor fire progression. Brief local fire departments. Issue smoke advisories. No cascade risks detected for this event.

  2. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  3. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  4. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  5. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  6. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  7. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  8. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  9. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  10. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  11. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  12. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  13. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  14. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  15. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  16. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  17. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  18. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  19. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
  20. AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow119d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30)
Forecast for Burkina FasoActive events in Burkina Faso