Rating
Algeria risk rating
Activity gradeDindex 68.0/100
Operational statusOrange
Last updated1m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-20 00:18:57 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-20 02:18:57 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity100.0/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI100.0/100
CFI activity proxy55.5/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Weather
Mean event index: 39/100 · Eligible records: 41
Fire
Mean event index: 34/100 · Eligible records: 4
Rating history
- CtoDindex 54 → 665d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 54 → 66)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 31.9 → 90.8forecast component 49.5 → 54.0
Country rating changed from C to D (score 54 → 66). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributed. population component 31.9 → 90.8. forecast component 49.5 → 54.0. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — DZ Detected: 2026-10-14T02:41:00.000Z CalamityScore: 53/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 544,953 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: DZ. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoCindex 68 → 545d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 68 → 54)Current dominant event: Rain Severe warning for the wilaya: BÉCHAR (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 31.9forecast component 54.8 → 49.5
- CtoDindex 60 → 689d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 60 → 68)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 79.0 → 100.0
- DtoCindex 68 → 609d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 68 → 60)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 79.0forecast component 55.5 → 54.8
- AtoDindex 16 → 68Green → Orange11d agoCountry rating changed from A to D (score 16 → 68)Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Rain Severe warning for the wilaya: TLEMCEN (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.4 → 100.0population component 3.8 → 100.0forecast component 54.8 → 55.5
- DtoAindex 69 → 16Yellow → Green11d agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 69 → 16)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 16.4population component 100.0 → 3.8forecast component 57.0 → 54.8
- BtoDindex 39 → 6912d agoCountry rating changed from B to D (score 39 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 69.0 → 100.0population component 20.2 → 100.0forecast component 51.8 → 57.0
- BtoBindex 26 → 3912d agoActivity score changed from 26 to 39Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 46.6 → 69.0population component 3.6 → 20.2forecast component 45.0 → 51.8
- AtoBindex 20 → 2612d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 26)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.4 → 46.6population component 3.6 → 3.6
- CtoAindex 49 → 2012d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 49 → 20)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.4 → 30.4population component 100.0 → 3.6
- DtoCindex 69 → 4913d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 49)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 54.4forecast component 58.5 → 45.0
- DtoDindex 61 → 6913d agoActivity score changed from 61 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 80.0 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 60 → 6113d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 60 → 61)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 78.2 → 80.0
- CtoCindex 46 → 6013d agoActivity score changed from 46 to 60Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 58.0 → 78.2population component 72.5 → 100.0
- BtoCindex 32 → 4613d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 32 → 46)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.4 → 58.0population component 30.0 → 72.5
- DtoBindex 66 → 3214d agoCountry rating changed from D to B (score 66 → 32)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 92.6 → 42.4population component 100.0 → 30.0
- DtoDindex 61 → 6614d agoActivity score changed from 61 to 66Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 80.0 → 92.6
- CtoDindex 43 → 6114d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 43 → 61)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 52.0 → 80.0population component 65.5 → 100.0
- BtoCindex 35 → 4314d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 35 → 43)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 37.8 → 52.0population component 55.9 → 65.5
- BtoBindex 30 → 35Green → Yellow14d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.6 → 37.8population component 55.9 → 55.9